Mental Models

Day 01 Decision Making First Principles · Second-Order Thinking · Inversion · Occam's Razor Day 02 Cognitive Biases Confirmation Bias · Anchoring Effect · Survivorship Bias · Sunk Cost Fallacy Day 03 Systems Thinking Feedback Loops · Leverage Points · Theory of Constraints · Emergence Day 04 Strategy Game Theory · Competitive Advantage · Economic Moat · Flywheel Effect Day 05 Communication & Influence Pyramid Principle · Cialdini's Six · Framing Effect · Story Thinking Day 06 Innovation & Learning Deliberate Practice · T-shaped Talent · Cross-domain Transfer · Analogical Thinking Day 07 Risk & Probability Bayesian Thinking · Black Swan · Antifragility · Expected Value Day 08 Efficiency & Execution Pareto Principle · Parkinson's Law · Time Blocking · MVP Thinking Day 09 Psychology & Behavior Loss Aversion · Peak-End Rule · Flow Theory · Habit Loop Day 10 Business Models Network Effects · Platform Thinking · The Long Tail · Marginal Cost Day 11 Philosophy & Metacognition Socratic Questioning · The Raft Metaphor · Knowing You Don't Know · Intellectual Humility Day 12 Scientific Method Hypothesis Testing · Falsifiability · Controlled Variables · Correlation ≠ Causation Day 13 Economic Thinking Opportunity Cost · Comparative Advantage · Supply & Demand · Externalities Day 14 Investing & Wealth Margin of Safety · Mean Reversion · Compounding · Asset Allocation Day 15 Leadership Servant Leadership · Situational Leadership · Circle of Competence · Delegation & Trust Day 16 Negotiation BATNA · Anchoring & Concession · Win-Win Thinking · Interests vs Positions Day 17 Mathematical Thinking Law of Large Numbers · Mean Reversion · Power Law · Nonlinear Thinking Day 18 Ecology & Evolution Survival of the Fittest · Red Queen Effect · Symbiosis · Ecological Niche Day 19 Product Thinking User Journey · Product-Market Fit · Occam's Design · Iterative Thinking Day 20 Time & Complexity Lindy Effect · Butterfly Effect · Path Dependence · Complex Adaptive Systems Day 21 Consciousness & Awareness Mindfulness · Metacognition · Yogācāra · Observer Effect Day 22 Relationships Emotional Bank Account · Nonviolent Communication · Empathy Map · Trust Equation Day 23 Information & Knowledge Management Signal-to-Noise Ratio · Feynman Technique · Knowledge Graph · Forgetting Curve Day 24 Ethics & Values Trolley Problem · Utilitarianism vs Deontology · Veil of Ignorance · Moral Intuition Day 25 AI & the Super-Individual Human-AI Collaboration · Prompt Engineering · AI-Augmented Cognition · Compute Leverage Day 26 Cross-Disciplinary Transfer Physics Metaphors · Biological Analogies · Historical Rhythms · Mathematical Modeling Day 27 Energy & Attention Management Attention Residue · Decision Fatigue · Energy Management · Deep Work Day 28 Game Theory & Cooperation Prisoner's Dilemma · Nash Equilibrium · Repeated Games · Tit-for-Tat Day 29 Cognitive Upgrading Mental Model Updating · Paradigm Shift · Cognitive Dissonance · Growth Mindset Day 30 Eastern Wisdom Dao Follows Nature · Doctrine of the Mean · Unity of Knowing & Doing · Emptiness & Dependent Origination Day 31 Military Strategic Thinking OODA Loop · Center of Gravity · Fog of War · Indirect Approach Day 32 Startup & Zero-to-One Thinking Contrarian Truth · Zero to One vs One to N · Founder-Market Fit · The J-Curve Day 33 Engineering Philosophy & Software Design Levels of Abstraction · Conway's Law · Technical Debt · YAGNI & Premature Abstraction Day 34 Parenting & Developmental Psychology Critical & Sensitive Periods · ZPD & Scaffolding · Secure Attachment · Self-Determination Theory Day 35 Brain Science & Neural Foundations Neuroplasticity · Predictive Processing · Default Mode Network · Reward Prediction Error Day 36 Physics as a Thinking Tool Entropy & Dissipative Structures · Phase Transitions · Resonance · Superposition & Optionality Day 37 Distributed Systems Thinking CAP Theorem · Eventual Consistency · Idempotency · Backpressure Day 38 Network Science Thinking Small-World Networks · Strength of Weak Ties · Scale-Free Networks · Homophily & Echo Chambers Day 39 Algorithmic Thinking Divide and Conquer · Dynamic Programming & Memoization · Greedy & Local Optima Trap · Heuristics & Approximation Day 40 Munger's Psychology of Misjudgment (Part 1) Incentive Super-Response · Pain-Avoiding Denial · Availability-Misweighing · Contrast-Misreaction Day 41 Munger's Psychology of Misjudgment (Part 2) Excessive Self-Regard · Envy / Jealousy · Commitment & Consistency · The Lollapalooza Effect Day 42 The Decision-Making Toolbox Checklists · Pre-mortem · Red Teaming · Decision Journal Day 43 Laws of Thinking Map ≠ Territory · Hanlon's Razor · Dunbar's Number · Gödel's Incompleteness Day 44 Taleb Advanced Skin in the Game · Via Negativa · Barbell Strategy · Naive Interventionism Day 45 The Science of Superforecasting Calibration vs Resolution · Brier Score · Fox vs Hedgehog · Outside View & Base Rate Day 46 Explore vs Exploit Multi-Armed Bandit · Optimal Stopping · UCB & Thompson Sampling · ε-Greedy & Annealing Day 47 Behavioral Economics Advanced Mental Accounting · Endowment Effect · The IKEA Effect · Default Options & Nudge Day 48 Public Choice & Collective Action Arrow's Impossibility · Tragedy of the Commons · Logic of Collective Action · Public Goods Paradox Day 49 Mechanism Design & Incentives Incentive Compatibility · Principal-Agent · Auction Theory · Signaling Day 50 Metric Traps Goodhart's Law · Campbell's Law · Surrogation · Motivation Crowding Day 51 Convex Bets & Hedging Kelly Criterion · Convex Betting · Tail-Risk Hedging · Insurance Thinking Day 52 Money & the Foundations of Finance Interest Rates · Inflation · Leverage & Debt Cycle · Money Illusion Day 53 Evolutionary Psychology Adaptationist Perspective · Evolutionary Mismatch · Sexual Selection · Kin Selection Day 54 Organizational & Bureaucratic Laws Brooks's Law · The Peter Principle · Iron Law of Bureaucracy · Law of Triviality Day 55 Selected Laws of Software Engineering Gall's Law · Robustness Principle · Hyrum's Law · Wirth's Law Day 56 Writing & Thinking on the Page Writing Is Thinking · One Idea at a Time · Active Voice · Subtraction Beats Addition Day 57 Causal Inference Ladder of Causation · Counterfactual Reasoning · Instrumental Variables · Simpson's Paradox Day 58 Information-Theoretic Thinking Shannon Entropy · Channel Capacity · Coding & Compression · Mutual Information Day 59 Cybernetics & Feedback Regulation Negative Feedback · Positive Feedback / Runaway · Delay & Oscillation · Requisite Variety Day 60 Diffusion of Innovations Early Adopters · Crossing the Chasm · Tipping Point Threshold · S-Curve Saturation Day 61 Cognitive Diversity Diversity Trumps Ability · Outsider Perspective Dividend · Hybrid Vigor · Contrarian Value Day 62 Collective Intelligence & Collaboration Wisdom of Crowds · Prediction Markets · Swarm Intelligence · The Wiki Model Day 63 Metaphor & Framing Wars Conceptual Metaphor · Framing Wars · Reframing · Dead Metaphor Day 64 Fuzzy & Grayscale Thinking Fuzzy Sets · Vagueness ≠ Uncertainty · Tolerance of Ambiguity · Grayscale Judgment Day 65 The Mechanisms of Creativity Thought Experiments · Remote Association · Constraint-Driven Creativity · Combinatorial Innovation Day 66 Legal & Contract Thinking Adversarial vs Cooperative · Default Rules · Incomplete Contracts · Chesterton's Fence Day 67 Mathematical Structures as Mind Basis & Transformation · Continuity & Invariants · Composition & Isomorphism · Dimensionality & Similarity Day 68 Dynamic Thinking: Time, Accumulation, Path Present Bias · Diminishing Marginal Utility · Disruptive Innovation · Ergodicity